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Portfolio governance

Capability: Investment governance

Making continuation a decision

Investments return with evidence against the outcome they were funded for, and the panel makes an explicit call: persevere, pivot or stop.

Investment reviews asked whether work was on track. They rarely asked whether it was still worth doing. I redesigned them so that continuing an investment became a choice someone had to make.

Context

Product and portfolio leadership at a leading global airline, in a technology portfolio where initiatives competed for the same specialists and the same decision-makers.

My role

Designed the review and its decision rules, made the investment recommendations and coached the product leaders who brought evidence to it. The decision sat with a joint panel of senior technology and business leaders.

The decision

Whether a funded investment should continue as planned, change direction or stop, and what evidence that call should rest on.

What changed

Continuing stopped being the default. Investments return with evidence against the outcome they were funded for, and the panel makes an explicit call: persevere, pivot or stop.

In one review an initiative was on plan but not moving its outcome; the panel changed its direction instead of letting it run green.

Stage in the model

Investment feedback

Investment returns with evidence → panel decides

  • Persevere

    Evidence is moving towards the outcome it was funded for.

  • Pivot

    The outcome still matters; the current route isn’t reaching it.

  • Stop

    The outcome no longer justifies the people and attention it uses.

Illustrative decision rules.

What the old review could not see

Investments were reviewed on milestones and red, amber or green status. Those reports answered one question well: is the plan being followed? They could not answer whether the outcome the investment was funded for was still likely, or whether a newer proposal needed the same people. An initiative could be green on every line and still be the wrong thing to keep funding.

What I changed

I rebuilt the review around three questions. What was this investment meant to change? What evidence do we have now? What does continuing take from the rest of the portfolio?

Two things changed in the room. Product leaders presented the evidence themselves, instead of a delivery manager reporting status on their behalf. And senior technology and business leaders made the call together, in the same forum, so a conflict found in the review could be resolved there. I brought a recommendation to each review; the panel decided.

A pivot the old review would have missed

In one review, early evidence showed an initiative was delivering to plan but not moving the outcome it was funded for. Under the old reporting it would have stayed green. The panel changed its scope and direction instead. The review made continuation an explicit decision supported by evidence, rather than the automatic consequence of staying on plan.

The harder part

The process was the easy bit. Product leaders had been rewarded for shipping on time, so a review that asked about outcomes felt like a change of rules mid-game. I coached them on writing goals they could be held to as outcomes, and on bringing a change of direction to the panel before the panel had to ask for one.

Evidence and limits

The most direct evidence of the change was a different investment decision. An initiative that was delivering to plan, but not showing progress towards its intended outcome, was redirected by the portfolio panel.

The intervention changed three things: the evidence brought to the review, who was responsible for bringing it, and the obligation to make an explicit continuation decision.

That demonstrates a change in investment governance and in the quality of allocation decisions. It does not, by itself, establish a financial saving. That would need evidence of resources actually released or redirected, future spending avoided, or additional value produced by the revised investment. A better investment decision is an observable result; its economic consequences need a separate assessment.

What I learned

Stopping is rarely the hard decision. Continuing is, because it happens by default unless someone turns it into a choice.